Bellevue-Stratford Hotel

One prime candidate on the list was presence at the Bellevue-Stratford Hotel. The application of the NCT to this candidate was straightforward. Everyone who had contracted the disease had spent time in or near that hotel. Thus, presence at the Bellevue-Stratford could not be eliminated as a necessary condition of Legionnaires’ disease.

The application of the SCT was more complicated, because not everyone who stayed at the Bellevue-Stratford contracted the disease. Other factors made a difference: “Older conventioneers had been affected at a higher rate than younger ones, men at three times the rate for women.” Since some young women (among others) who were present at the Bellevue-Stratford did not get Legionnaires’ disease, presence at that hotel could be eliminated as a sufficient condition of Legionnaires’ disease. Nonetheless, it is part of medical background knowledge that susceptibility to disease often varies with age and gender. Given these differences, some people who spent time at the Bellevue-Stratford were at higher risk for contracting the disease than others. The investigation so far suggested that, for some people, being at the Bellevue-Stratford was connected with a sufficient condition for con- tracting Legionnaires’ disease. Indeed, the conjunction of spending time at the Bellevue-Stratford and being susceptible to the disease could not be ruled out by the SCT as a sufficient condition of getting the disease.

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