As much of the phenomena as depends on the attraction of the sun and moon is completely understood, and may, in any, even unknown, part of the earth’s surface, be foretold with certainty; and the far greater part of the phenom- ena depends on those causes. But circum- stances of a local or causal nature, such as the configuration of the bottom of the ocean, the degree of confinement from shores, the direction of the wind, etc., influence, in many or in all places, the height and time of the tide; and a portion of these circumstances being either not accurately knowable, not precisely mea- surable, or not capable of being certainly foreseen, the tide in known places com- monly varies from the calculated result of general principles by some difference. … Nevertheless, not only is it certain that these variations depend on causes, and follow their causes by laws of unerring uniformity. … General laws may be laid down respecting the tides, predictions may be founded on those laws, and the result will in the main, though often not with complete accuracy, correspond to the predictions.
Thus, meteorology and tidology are sciences, but they are not exact sciences. An inexact science, however, might become an exact science. For exam- ple, astronomy became an exact science when the laws governing the motions of astronomical bodies became sufficiently understood to allow prediction of not only the general courses of such bodies but also apparent aberrations. It is the inability of a sci- ence to deal with secondary causation that makes it inexact.
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